Women in Agriculture: Strength in Numbers

I’ve been blessed of late to be asked to guest write or blog for a several media outlets. Earlier this week, my article on women in agriculture entitled “In the Company of Many” discussed the rise of the role of women farmers. It was published in a special section of our local weekly agriculture paper called The Delmarva Farmer.

To the women farmers, both those I’ve met and those I have not, I am thankful to be in the company of so many wonderful female farmers!

Here is a link to my article about women in agriculture. Enjoy!

In the Company of Many

Why no big inflation?

The Federal Reserve has been printing money left and right.  The dollar has depreciated.  Surely 1970s style inflation is around the corner, right?  Well, clearly, we have rapidly grown the money supply.  This graphic shows that the money supply has grown over time, but the growth rate accelerated during the financial crisis.

Equally important, the balance sheet of the FED has grown, largely through the purchases of mortgage-backed securities.

These two factors, alone, should give pause to anyone paying attention.  But, yet, we are not seeing significant inflation.  Why?  Consider the following equation:

PY = MV
Think of the left side as GDP…or prices times economic output.  The changes in the left side determines whether there is inflation (increase) or deflation (decrease).  The right side is the money supply (M) multiplied by the velocity of money (V), or the number of times money turns over in the economy.  So, if the money supply (M) is rising, shouldn’t we have inflation?  Well, consider what is happening to V:
The velocity of money has dropped dramatically.  Therefore, the Federal Reserve had to increase the supply of money to offset the drop in velocity to avoid an outright contraction of the economy.
Now, the pickle we are in relates to the balance sheet of the FED.  When (if) V begins to rise, we will start to see inflation if the FED does not decrease M.  But, given the massive amount of mortgages it holds, they must, at least in part, sell mortgages to draw M down.  Sell them too fast and you can crash the mortgage market (again).  Sell them too slow, and you risk a rapid rise in inflation.
But, for now, V remains low (and declining).  Watch this variable (data available from the Federal Reserve) to get an indication of future movement in inflation and interest rates.

Nothing is Certain but Death and Taxes

Odd that I would start a blog referencing Benjamin Franklin, but this topic is timely and critical if you care about the preservation of the family farm and the farmland used to grow your food.

This blog has nothing to do with your food… and EVERYTHING to do with your food supply. Unless Congress acts, at the stroke of midnight January 1, 2013, the federal estate tax will revert to pre-2001 levels or from a current $5 million exemption to a $1 million exemption. If you don’t think this will impact your food, think again. One of the biggest threats to farming today is the inability of heirs to retain the farm and keep it operational is the federal estate tax. According to a report issued by the Joint Economic Committee this summer entitled the Cost and Consequences of the Federal Estate Tax, estate tax is the “overwhelming cause of the dissolution of family businesses.” Since 98% of all farms in the US are family owned, this has wide spread implications over the next 10-20 years as the aging farm population passes away.

Most farms are land rich and cash poor. The report also noted that of the majority of the assets on a farm, 85% of the value is held in real estate, ie: farmland. Hard assets account for 88% of a farm’s value whereas liquidity was only 12%. So when faced with a death in the family, few family farms have a choice but to auction off equipment and land in order to pay the estate tax. This results in the break up of the family farm. The remaining portion may not be sufficient to support the heirs to stay in farming, or by auctioning off equipment, leaves the heirs in a position to be unable to farm. I mean if you sell the tractors and combine to pay Uncle Sam his taxes, where do you get the cash to buy another tractor and combine? You just gave all your cash to the government and now don’t have the equipment you need to operate your farm. You can’t just “go” get more equipment.

According to the American Farm Bureau Federation press release on this report :“When estate taxes on an agricultural business exceed cash and other liquid assets, surviving family partners are forced to sell illiquid assets, such as land, buildings or equipment to keep their businesses operating,” said Stallman. “With 88 percent of farm and ranch assets illiquid, producers have few options when it comes to generating cash to pay the estate tax.” The video below details  AFBF President Bob Stallman’s call for Congress to protect farm families from the impending change in the reduction of the federal estate tax exemption.

I am part of a 3rd generation family farm. The 2nd generation (my father in law) has sold some of the farming assets to the 3rd generation (my husband and brother in law), but the majority of the farm, ie the land, the farm’s main asset, is still held by the 2nd generation. Upon death, the 3rd generation (us) will be responsible to paying the estate taxes on nearly 1800 acres of land plus additional assets held by the 2nd generation.

Unless Congress acts, on 1/1/13, the current $5 million exemption will revert to a $1 million exemption.

Let’s look at what $1 million exemption looks like to a family farm:

$1 million exemption = 100 acres of land.

$1 million exemption = 2 Combines
$1 million exemption = 3 - large Tractors

$1 million exemption = 4 – irrigation systems

$1 million exemption = approximately 115,000 bushels of corn

$1 million exemption = approximately 61,000 bushels of soybeans.

$1 million exemption = approximately 154,000 bales of hay

While these may seem like large numbers to someone who doesn’t farm, they are not. They are the value of your every day items on a family farm. So if a $1 million exemption covers approximately 100 acres, we will be paying taxes on the remaining 1700 acres. And that will be at the 55% tax rate. It spells real trouble for any farmer inheriting the farm as of 1/1/13. Without doing the math, I can tell you that is a chunk of change we do not have.

Farming is not a hobby nor is it cheap. It takes real dollars and real assets to produce your food. All of these things are up for auction when an estate is passed from one generation to the next at death.

Morbid subject? Maybe. But a real crisis facing U.S. farm families.

So what can YOU do? If preservation of the family farm and farmland is important to you then call your Senators and Representatives and ask them to move on reforming the federal estate tax THIS YEAR! At a minimum, we need to extend the current $5 million exemption. At best, we need to abolish estate tax.

The link will lead you to a webpage providing you with information on contacting your Senators:Contact Your Senators

This link will lead you to a webpage providing you with information on contacting your Congressmen: Contact Your Representatives

To read the full details of the Joint Economic Committee Report, click on this link.
JEC report on Cost & Consequence of the Federal Estate Tax

Thank you for taking the time to help with this critical issue.